Rate Lock Advisory

Friday, October 11th

Friday’s bond market has opened in negative territory due mostly to trade and Brexit related news. Stocks are reacting favorably to the same news, pushing the Dow higher by 390 points and the Nasdaq up 135 points. The bond market is currently down 23/32 (1.74%), which with weakness late yesterday should push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point if comparing to Thursday’s early pricing.

23/32

Bonds

30 yr - 1.74%

390

Dow

26,887

135

NASDAQ

8,086

Mortgage Rate Trend

Trailing 90 Days - National Average

  • 30 Year Fixed
  • 15 Year Fixed
  • 5/1 ARM

Indexes Affecting Rate Lock

Medium

Negative

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Prelim)

Today’s only relevant economic data did not help matters. The University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment for October came in at 96.0, up from September’s 93.2 and higher than forecasts. The rise means surveyed consumers felt better about their financial and employment situations this month than last month. Because higher levels of confidence usually translates into stronger consumer spending that fuels economic growth, this was bad news for bonds and mortgage rates. However, the bond market was well in negative ground before this data was posted at 10:00 AM ET.

High

Negative

Geopolitical/Financial Issues

This morning's bond selling is being attributed mostly to news of a possible deal with Britain and the European Union (Brexit) and comments by President Trump last night that a partial trade deal with China is near. Both of these events, if accurate, are believed to be economically friendly. That makes them bad news for bonds and good news for stocks. Hence the strong open in stocks and the early losses in bonds. President Trump is meeting with China’s trade negotiator this afternoon, so expect more news to come on this later today.

Medium

Unknown

Holiday Schedule

Next week brings us a handful of economic reports, but only one is considered to be of major importance and it comes midweek. The bond market will be closed Monday for the Columbus Day holiday while stocks will be open for trading. Look for details on next week's calendar in Sunday evenings weekly preview.

Float / Lock Recommendation

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.



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